Javascript is not enabled.

Javascript must be enabled to use this site. Please enable Javascript in your browser and try again.

Skip to content
Content starts here
Leaving Website

You are now leaving and going to a website that is not operated by AARP. A different privacy policy and terms of service will apply.

Surging Cases and Deaths in Nursing Homes Suggest Another Winter COVID-19 Spike

Booster uptake among residents and workers remains low


Only 38 percent of all U.S. nursing home residents and 15 percent of all direct care staff had received a booster dose of the COVID-19 vaccine as of Nov. 21, according to an AARP analysis of new federal data. Booster rates have ticked up somewhat since then, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), which reported that 52 percent of fully vaccinated residents and 23 percent of fully vaccinated staff had received a booster as of Dec. 5. 

While the CDC’s rates are more current, they only include fully vaccinated residents and staff in their counts, negating the roughly 12 percent of residents and 22 percent of workers who remain unvaccinated or partially vaccinated. AARP’s rates consider all residents and staff, regardless of vaccination status.

spinner image Image Alt Attribute

AARP Membership— $12 for your first year when you sign up for Automatic Renewal

Get instant access to members-only products and hundreds of discounts, a free second membership, and a subscription to AARP the Magazine. Find out how much you could save in a year with a membership. Learn more.

Join Now

The relatively low uptake after months of booster availability, combined with the rising number of U.S. COVID-19 cases, is leaving nursing home experts and resident advocates worried that facilities are highly vulnerable to yet another resurgence of the virus.

Some 200,000 residents and staff of U.S. long-term care facilities have already died from COVID-19, accounting for around a quarter of the country’s total COVID fatalities. Nursing homes were first in line for COVID-19 vaccinations after they were authorized late last year. A federal partnership sent teams into long-term care facilities for free on-site vaccinations. There’s no such program for boosters, leaving many individual facilities responsible. 

White House COVID-19 data director Cyrus Shahpar wrote on Twitter on Dec. 9 that he estimates that nearly 60 percent of nursing home residents due for a booster had received one. “We’re seeing strong progress,” he wrote, adding that “we expect nursing home booster numbers to continue to rise in the days ahead.”  

But AARP's Susan Reinhard, coauthor of the new COVID-19 analysis, which relies on data reported to the federal government by nursing homes, says current booster rates are “shocking” and “not good enough.” “These shots have been available for months, and residents in particular have been eligible for these shots for months,” says Reinhard, senior vice president and director of the AARP Public Policy Institute. 

“We have this preventive tool, but we’re failing to use it,” she adds. “And in the meantime, our elders are sitting in these high-risk congregate settings, just waiting for another onslaught of this virus, rather powerless in stopping it.”

Studies show that the COVID-19 boosters are highly effective against the coronavirus, including the delta variant. Anthony S. Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, announced Wednesday that Moderna and Pfizer boosters are likely to offer a substantial increase in protection against the new and highly transmissible omicron variant. 

See more Health & Wellness offers >

Waning immunity, rising cases 

Last year’s federal vaccination campaign sent teams from CVS and Walgreens into the vast majority of the nation’s nursing homes to administer free vaccines to residents and staff. While staff uptake lagged, most of the country’s nursing home residents were fully vaccinated by the end of March

Check the vaccination rates of your nursing home  

You can now find vaccination rates of both residents and staff at any Medicare-certified nursing home and compare it with state and national averages on’s Care Compare website.

  • Find a nursing home’s profile via the home page’s search function
  • Visit the “Details” section of its profile
  • Click the “View COVID-19 Vaccination Rates” button

Over the summer, though, nursing homes experienced steeper increases in COVID cases and deaths than the rest of the country, as studies began to show that vaccination becomes less effective over time, especially in people 65 years and older.

In September, the CDC recommended a booster of the Pfizer vaccine for nursing home residents six months after completing their second shot. In October, the CDC also recommended Moderna and Johnson & Johnson boosters for residents.

While nursing home workers became eligible for boosters at the same time as residents, the CDC did  not officially recommend boosters for workers until late November, when the omicron variant emerged and all Americans 18 and older were told they “should” get a booster.

In the meantime, COVID-19 cases started rising again in the U.S. In nursing homes specifically, resident and staff cases increased each week nationally, from around 6,300 for the week ending Oct. 31 to 8,000 for the week ending Nov. 21, AARP’s analysis shows.

“It’s not looking good,” says Jennifer Schrack, an associate professor in the epidemiology of aging at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. “This virus is hard to predict, but we’re expecting a surge in January, especially because of this new variant.”

AARP’s analysis shows that booster uptake varies widely from state to state. Across Arizona’s nursing homes, just 17 percent of residents and 6 percent of staff were boosted as of Nov. 21, representing the lowest rate in the county. In Vermont, meanwhile, which reported the highest rates in the country, 70 percent of residents and 36 percent of staff were boosted. Coverage tends to be higher than average in the Northeast and Great Plains regions and lower than average in the South.  

“This is not a time for governments to wait to be asked for help,” Reinhard says. “This is a time we should assume nursing homes need help because that’s what this data is telling us.”

More facilities plan for boosters

The booster uptake rate for nursing home residents is similar to that of American adults 65 and over, says Jennifer Kates, senior vice president and director of global health and HIV policy at the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation. She notes the booster rate for nursing home residents and older Americans is much higher than that of the general population.

“But that doesn’t mean these rates aren’t concerning,” Kates says. “Remember, most nursing home residents were vaccinated very early on in the vaccine campaign. We know immunity wanes, and we also know that this population is very vulnerable to the effects of this virus.”

“We want to prevent any increased impact from happening, if possible,” she adds. “And it is possible with boosters.”

Ruth Katz, senior vice president for policy at LeadingAge, a national trade organization representing more than 5,000 nonprofit aging service providers, says most member facilities have either completed on-site booster clinics or have them scheduled for the next few weeks. While most members have had no issues in scheduling booster clinics, she says, some operators have been delayed due to the availability of their pharmacy partners and staffing shortages. 

“Some [nursing homes] have contacted their local CVS or Walgreens or another pharmacy and been told the wait for a booster clinic is six weeks,” Katz says. “So, I think the whole workforce problem in health care is having some effect.... It takes people to do this, and right now health care doesn't have a lot of people, so we have to be considerate of that.” 

The American Health Care Association/National Center for Assisted Living (AHCA/NCAL), a national trade organization representing more than 14,000 nursing homes and long-term care facilities, said in a statement that the new booster data shows “progress” by nursing homes, given that boosters for all three vaccines were only approved in late October. “Industry leaders anticipate it may take until the end of December to see the majority of nursing homes complete an on-site booster clinic,” it said.

AARP's analysis, conducted by the AARP Public Policy Institute and the Scripps Gerontology Center at Miami University in Ohio, draws primarily on data acquired from the Nursing Home COVID-19 Public File by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Most nursing homes are federally certified and required to submit data to the government each week.

The ongoing analysis captures data only from federally certified nursing homes, not from all long-term care facilities — such as assisted living, independent living, memory care and others — as some other tallies do. An updated analysis will be released next month as new federal data becomes available. Read more about the analysis

Emily Paulin is a contributing writer who covers nursing homes, health care, and federal and state policy. Her work has also appeared in Broadsheet, an Australian lifestyle publication..  .

Discover AARP Members Only Access

Join AARP to Continue

Already a Member?