Texas Voters 50+ Could Play a Key Role in Competitive Senate and Governor's Races

A new AARP Texas survey finds that voters 50 and older remain one of the state's most engaged voting groups and could have a significant impact on the outcome of Texas's competitive Senate and gubernatorial elections. Eighty-four percent of voters age 50-plus rate themselves as extremely motivated to vote, compared with 70% of voters under age 50. Older voters also comprise a substantial share of the Texas electorate, making their priorities especially important in the months leading up to Election Day. 

The poll shows a close race for U.S. Senate, with James Talarico receiving 48% support and Ken Paxton receiving 44%, while the governor's race is similarly competitive, with Greg Abbott at 49% and Gina Hinojosa at 46%. Among voters 50 and older, voting preferences differ from the statewide results, underscoring the importance of older voters in both contests.

Affordability is the top issue for Texas voters, with rising prices and the cost of everyday necessities ranking highest among concerns. Among voters age 50-plus, Social Security, Medicare, health care costs, and policies that help older adults remain independent at home are also major priorities. Groceries, health care, and gasoline are the leading affordability concerns for many Texans. 

The survey also highlights strong support among voters age 50-plus for protecting Social Security and strengthening Medicare. Fifty-nine percent say Social Security is or will be a major source of household income, while large majorities say they are more likely to support candidates who protect earned Social Security benefits, expand Medicare prescription drug price negotiations, and support family caregivers. Nearly half of voters age 50-plus are current or former family caregivers.

AARP commissioned the bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and Impact Research (D) to conduct the survey of likely Texas voters. The survey interviewed 895 likely voters statewide from August 30 through September 1, 2026. Interviews were conducted via live interviewer on cellphone (40%) and landline (15%), as well as SMS-to-web (45%). The survey was offered in English and Spanish and was randomly drawn from the Texas voter list. Weights were applied using voter turnout, demographic, geographic, educational, and election-result benchmarks to ensure the sample reflects the Texas electorate.

For more information, contact Kate Bridges at kbridges@aarp.org. For media inquiries, contact External Relations at media@aarp.org.