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Ask Ms. Medicare

Myth of the $247 Medicare Part B Premium

Bogus email predicts Part B premiums will increase

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En español | Q. I just received an email saying that under "Obamacare" our Medicare Part B premiums will rise to $247 a month by 2014. Is this true?

A. No, it isn't true. A mass email making this claim has been circulating since before the 2010 elections. But it's just another attempt to scare older Americans and has no basis in fact.

See also: What you need to know most about Medicare.

Bogus emails predict Plan B premium hikes. For Ask Ms. Medicare.

Will your Medicare Part B premium increase in 2014? — Corbis

In a new twist, recent versions of this email carry the official Blue Cross/Blue Shield of Alabama logo and seem to be signed by an employee of that health insurance company.

But Koko Mackin, the company's vice president of corporate communications, has repudiated the message. "It contains incorrect information received by an employee who redistributed it to six others," he told reporters. "We have a longstanding policy against distributing chain emails like this, and actions have been taken to reinforce this policy. We apologize for any confusion or concern this email may have caused."

The official formula for determining Part B premiums was established by Congress decades ago. The standard premium amount for each year is calculated on the level of Medicare health care costs in the previous year — and reflects the fact that the government pays 75 percent of Part B costs and beneficiaries pay 25 percent.

This process is in no way affected by the new health care law, officially known as the Affordable Care Act (ACA). The law does, however, contain provisions to reduce the rate of Medicare costs over time — without reducing guaranteed benefits. If this plays out as planned, it could hold Part B premiums down or possibly even lower them.

The standard Part B premium in 2012 is $99.90 a month, and the premium for 2013 will be announced next month. There is no way of accurately predicting what the premium will be in 2014 or any future years.

But while the email makes bogus predictions about future increases in the standard Part B premium, the new law did, in fact, make two changes that affect Medicare premiums.

Ever since 2007, under a law passed in 2003, people with Medicare have paid a surcharge on their standard Part B premiums if their modified adjusted gross income, as shown on their latest tax return, is higher than $85,000 for a single person or $170,000 for a married couple filing joint returns. Currently, fewer than 1 in 20 beneficiaries pays higher-income premiums.

But that percentage is likely to grow in coming years — and this development is the result of the new law. The law froze the income brackets at 2010 levels through 2019, which means that more older Americans will become liable for the surcharge — up from 5 percent now to 14 percent by 2019, according to an estimate from the Kaiser Family Foundation.

The new law also required these wealthier beneficiaries to pay for the first time a premium surcharge for Medicare Part D prescription drug coverage. This took effect in January 2011.

For details of these surcharges, see the Social Security publication "Medicare Premiums: Rules for Higher-Income Beneficiaries."

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Members of Congress are looking at ways to strengthen Medicare's finances from raising the eligibility age to raising premiums for high-income seniors.

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