Witt estimated that the Burtches would net around $88,000 by surrendering Steven’s policy, since nearly $40,000 of its current $93,000 cash value represents an investment gain subject to federal and state taxes. So if Steven got hit by the proverbial bus next year, keeping the insurance, with its $200,000 death benefit, would have been the better move. But his one-year mortality risk is low—about one in a thousand. If Steven lives to age 76 (which he’s 92 percent likely to do), the invested cash is projected to hit around $210,000, eclipsing the death benefit, which would have grown to $207,000. The math on Kathryn’s policy is similar.