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Should You Stick With Stocks?

Experts tell retirement savers to sit tight, avoid quick sell-offs

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It's been an anxious few months for investors. Those nearing retirement have watched their savings erode as the Dow Jones industrial average slipped about 7 percent between April and June.

See also: Common retirement planning mistakes.

The drop reflects the souring economy. Unemployment has climbed back over 9 percent, home prices have fallen to 2002 levels, and the rate of U.S. economic growth has slowed. Meanwhile, European debt problems continue to rattle world financial markets.

With stocks wavering, is it a good idea for you to head for the exits? Most experts don't think so.

Many workers and retirees still have bad memories of what happened to their IRAs and 401(k)s when the Dow plunged 50 percent starting in 2007, after the implosion of the credit and housing markets.

Even though stock prices have regained most of that ground, workers are more worried than ever about retirement. In the 2011 edition of the Employee Benefits Research Institute's Retirement Confidence Survey, 50 percent of workers said they were either "not too confident" or "not at all confident" about being able to live comfortably in retirement. That's the highest level ever recorded in the survey's 21-year history.

Cooling on stocks

The Great Recession of 2007-09 has led retirement savers to cool on stocks. EBRI reported in November that just 41 percent of 401(k) assets were concentrated in stock funds in 2009, down from 48 percent in 2007.

But while stocks are inherently riskier than other investments, most financial advisers emphasize that over the long haul they provide much higher returns, helping retirement funds last longer.

"We believe investors near or in retirement need some exposure to stocks," says John Woerth, a Vanguard spokesman. "For example, the Vanguard Target Retirement 2020 Fund, designed for investors planning to retire between 2018 and 2022, has about 66 percent invested in stocks."

"The key to investing in equities is to determine how much exposure to risk makes sense" for an individual, says Steven A. Weydert, president of Weydert Wealth Management in Irvine, Calif.

Thanks to decades of market data and advances in economic science, he says, "today it's fairly easy to identify the right blend of risk and return for you — one that allows you to sleep at night while also providing you with the best chance at achieving your long-term financial goals."

There's a way to take advantage of the growth potential of stocks while deploying a shock absorber against nasty market jolts, says Ray LeVitre, founder of Net Worth Advisory Group, an independent, fee-only financial planning firm in Salt Lake City.

Next: What should investors nearing retirement know? >>

In his book The 20 Retirement Decision You Need To Make Right Now, LeVitre tells retiring investors to imagine three buckets.

The bucket list

  • Bucket 1 holds the money you plan on spending in the next three years. It's in cash investments such as bank accounts and CDs that protect your principal.
  • Bucket 2 contains money you'll need in years four through nine of your retirement. It is made up of corporate or government bonds designed to mature each year. As the bonds mature, the money is shifted to Bucket 1 to use for current living expenses.
  • Bucket 3 holds money you don't plan on spending for at least 10 years. It's invested in individual stocks or mutual funds. Occasionally, you will need to sell some of your stock to replenish your bond portfolio, but if the stock market is having a bad year, you can afford to wait, because you have seven years of guaranteed income from your cash and bond holdings.

"In that lengthy time span, your stock portfolio has plenty of opportunity to regain any losses from a down year or two," LeVitre writes.

"My clients think they're paying me for investment advice," LeVitre said in a phone interview. "But what they're really after is peace of mind."

Worrying about how to invest retirement savings can indeed be stressful, but if you have that problem, consider yourself lucky. According to EBRI, 29 percent of those responding to its Retirement Confidence Survey had less than $1,000 in retirement savings and investments outside of pensions or home equity, and 56 percent had less than $25,000.

Also of interest: Prepare a Plan B for retirement, just in case. >>

Art Dalglish is a writer and editor based in Maryland.

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